Probabilidad implícita actual
No 57%-1.5pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
14,5 €
Liquidez
800,6 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
41.0% / 44.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
3
Cambio 7d
+10.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
27 mar 26, 18:13 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
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When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying budget must provide funding for the entire year 2027.
- Special or emergency funding bills will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Government, specifically the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) (journal-officiel.gouv.fr).
- However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will France pass a national budget by December 31??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 57% a fecha de 15 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will France pass a national budget by December 31??
- Está previsto que Will France pass a national budget by December 31? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will France pass a national budget by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00).