KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 9 sept 2026, 0:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027 34%
Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,7 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
30.0% / 38.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
5 sept 26, 2:30 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
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If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:European Council
- The European Council must officially declare that all 27 EU member states have reached political agreement on the overall 2028-2034 MFF terms.
- A commitment or timetable to reach agreement later, a negotiating box, a partial or sectoral mandate, or a package leaving MFF-level terms unresolved does not qualify.
- European Parliament consent, formal legislative adoption, and entry into force are not required.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2027 al 34% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal??
- Está previsto que When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.