Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026?
One-OffSociedad y cultura2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 73.7%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
18 may 26, 6:58 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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FutuurReglas
Resolves YES if, at any point before Dec 31, 2026, all of the following occur:
- Someone and I each provide a probability estimate regarding our intent to pursue a long-term maximally serious relationship
- Both estimates are given within a ~2 week window of each other
- The mean of the two estimates is ≥40%
- Estimates can be verbal or written but must be deliberate (not offhand).
- Only needs to occur once; reversions or breakups afterward don't change the resolution.
