Punto medio del libro seleccionado
No Next Chancellor before 2028 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Referencia guardada
No Next Chancellor before 2028 66%Líder entre 13 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
No Next Chancellor before 2028 66%Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
11,3 €
Liquidez
310,9 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
14,2 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
No Next Chancellor before 2028Spread
—
Comentarios
3
Cambio 7d
+3.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
15 sept 26, 21:29 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · No Next Chancellor before 2028
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
PolymarketWill a member of the AfD party serve as chancellor in Germany by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany?
FutuurWill Markus Söder ever be German chancellor?
Manifold MarketsWill Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.
- This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President.
- Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.