Aviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 8 sept 2026, 22:05 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Alice Weidel 15%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
27 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
54,1 €
Baja liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
24 ago 26, 21:00 UTC26 ago 29, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
If the named outcome becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Der Bundeswahlleiter
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.
- A person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market If no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, the named outcome resolves YES and every other market resolves NO If new elections are called before a government forms, the named outcome resolves YES immediately
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election??
- Kalshi cotiza Alice Weidel al 15% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election??
- Está previsto que Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? se resuelva el 26 de agosto de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.