Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 76.4%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado12 feb 26, 6:13 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiWill the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketWill Merz be German chancellor on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Markus Söder ever be German chancellor?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketReglas
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Ed Miliband becomes Chancellor of the Exchequer at any point before the end of 2029.
- Resolution will be verified through official UK government sources, specifically the GOV.UK Chancellor of the Exchequer page.
- The market resolves NO if Miliband does not hold this position by December 31, 2029.
- Ed Miliband currently serves as Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero since July 2024.
- He was Leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition from 2010 to 2015.