KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actual10% or above 0%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
528,3 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
93.0% / 99.0%
Spread
6.5%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
23 jul 26, 16:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
20% or above57%
Tendencia de volumen
$60023 jul3d de datos25 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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What will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
0 €10% or above: 0%KALSHI
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What will the tariff rate on Indian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
0 €10% or above: 0%KALSHI
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What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
0,9 €10% or above: 79%KALSHI
KALSHI
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
4,4 €December 31,: 64%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the United States impose additional tariffs on China by December 31, 2026?
0 €Sí: 33%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
1 mil €Sí: 89%POLYMARKET
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If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date.
- This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country.
- Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify.
- The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions.
- If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect.