What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
Política comercialOne-OffChinaEuropa2m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
10% or above · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
10% or above 95.5%Líder entre 6 opciones
10% or above 95.5%Calidad del mercado
41 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Interés abierto
1,9 mil US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
10% or aboveSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
23 jul 26, 16:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · 10% or above
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street Journalthe United States CongressSemaforABCThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Timesthe President of the United StatesWhite HouseBloomberg NewsNBC
- The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect. Examples (for date = Jan 1, 2026): India: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50% China: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20% European Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326) Falkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)
Reglas de cada resultado
- 10% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 15% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 20% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 30% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 50% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 100% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from People's Republic of China into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 100%, then the market resolves to Yes.
