KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 95%
Calidad del mercado
71 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,2 mil €
Liquidez
3,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
5.2% / 6.7%
Spread
1.5 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
10 sept 26, 3:30 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- Qualifying payments require: At least $100 issued to each of at least 1,000,000 actual recipients under the same program.
- Payments to the same person may be combined.
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.