PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 45%-7.5ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
28,5 mil €
Liquidez
158,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComments
18
Cambio 7d
-5.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 minutos
25 jun 26, 23:2231 ago 26, 23:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
Reglas
This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.”
- A qualifying fee must be an announced policy which applies generally to all commercial vessels, or a defined subcategory of commercial vessels (e.g., vessels flagged to the US and its allies).
- Isolated demanded charges will not qualify.
- A fee is mandatory if, in practice, affected commercial vessels cannot transit or access the Strait of Hormuz without paying it, regardless of whether Iran characterizes the payment as voluntary or a fee for services.
- Fees described as tolls, maritime fees, service charges, environmental fees, security fees, insurance charges, etc. will qualify provided they are recognized as mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz by a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., a mandatory insurance fee charged by the Iranian Persian Gulf Strait Authority would qualify).
