Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
2.0 pts (24h)Política comercialOne-OffOriente MedioCrimen y justicia2m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 19%+2.0ptLíder entre 6 opciones
December 31 19%+2.0ptCalidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,2 mil €
Liquidez
58,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
45
Cambio 7d
-3.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 30 minutos
25 jun 26, 23:22 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
August 31Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
July 15Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
July 31Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
September 30Perdida
Antes del cierre: 1% ·
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.”
- A qualifying fee must be an announced policy which applies generally to all commercial vessels, or a defined subcategory of commercial vessels (e.g., vessels flagged to the US and its allies).
- Isolated demanded charges will not qualify.
- A fee is mandatory if, in practice, affected commercial vessels cannot transit or access the Strait of Hormuz without paying it, regardless of whether Iran characterizes the payment as voluntary or a fee for services.
- Fees described as tolls, maritime fees, service charges, environmental fees, security fees, insurance charges, etc. will qualify provided they are recognized as mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz by a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., a mandatory insurance fee charged by the Iranian Persian Gulf Strait Authority would qualify).