KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before 2027 5%+1.3pt
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
523,4 €
Liquidez
961,7 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
4.0% / 5.4%
Spread
1.4 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
11 dic 25, 22:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Wall Street JournalCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCThe GuardianSouth China Morning PostCBCABCBBCThe Washington PostThe VergeABC News Australia
- Clarification (12/18/25): For this market to resolve to Yes, a Source Agency must report that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue.
- A Source Agency writing that someone (e.g., the President) claimed the payments are from tariff revenue does not satisfy this requirement.
- The Source Agency must report it as fact, not as a claim made by another party.
- For example, "Millions of Americans received payments this week, which were funded by tariff revenue" would qualify, whereas "Trump said the payments received yesterday are funded by tariff revenue" would not qualify.
- If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 113,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 9,4 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Volumen total
- 6,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,3 mil €
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,1 mil €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 resultados más
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks??
- Kalshi cotiza Before 2027 al 5% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks??
- Está previsto que Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.