KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualBefore 2027 7%+0.2%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
100 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
5,2 mil €
Liquidez
1 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
7.2% / 7.3%
Spread
1.4%
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
11 dic 25, 22:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before 20277%
Operaciones grandes
$9.9k99.4%KALSHIBefore August — Nohace 14 d
KALSHIBefore August — Nohace 14 d$2.1k98.7%KALSHIBefore August — Nohace 21 d
KALSHIBefore August — Nohace 21 dTendencia de volumen
$5.9k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
191,9 €2027: 34%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
131 €India: 22%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
$100k fee imposed on H1B Visas?
66,9 €Sí: 12%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?
4,2 €Sí: 35%KALSHI
KALSHI
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
0 €December 31,: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
0 €Sí: 19%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto NewsReglas
If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (12/18/25): For this market to resolve to Yes, a Source Agency must report that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue.
- A Source Agency writing that someone (e.g., the President) claimed the payments are from tariff revenue does not satisfy this requirement.
- The Source Agency must report it as fact, not as a claim made by another party.
- For example, "Millions of Americans received payments this week, which were funded by tariff revenue" would qualify, whereas "Trump said the payments received yesterday are funded by tariff revenue" would not qualify.
- If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.