Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
1.5 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS Politics3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 93%+1.5pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
7,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-4.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
29 jun 26, 19:26 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
- A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.