KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 56%
Calidad del mercado
42 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
7,9 €
Liquidez
3,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
36.0% / 45.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
11 ago 26, 1:071 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
If the U.S. Court of International Trade issues a written ruling that holds unlawful, vacates, sets aside, or enjoins collection of the 10%–12.5% Section 301 forced-labor tariffs, in whole or in part, as to any party in any case challenging the Section 301 forced-labor tariffs imposed effective July 24, 2026, including Burlap and Barrel, Inc. v.
Settles via:U.S. Court of International Trade
- United States and New York v.
- United States, No. 26-03467, or any consolidation or recaptioning thereof before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The ruling must: Be issued by the U.S. Court of International Trade in any case challenging the Section 301 forced-labor tariffs imposed effective July 24, 2026, including Burlap and Barrel, Inc. v.
- United States, No. 26-03467, or any consolidation or recaptioning thereof Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision
- The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment
Mercados abiertos
Trade Policy
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-9.0pt47.4%
- October 31-5.5pt33%
- September 30-8.0pt14.4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,6 mil €
KALSHIWhat will Ulta say during their next earnings call?
- Uncertainty+4.0pt90%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence86%
- Luxury80%
+13 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 14,2 mil €
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?
- Yes+13.5pt69.3%
- No-13.5pt30.7%
- Volumen total
- 5,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
- Canada-1.0pt20%
- India18%
- Israel17%
+14 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Yes+0.1pt92%
- No-0.1pt8%
- Volumen total
- 191,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,1 mil €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition-1.0pt86.6%
- $600 billion to $899 billion-1.2pt3.1%
- $1 billion to $9 billion3.1%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Aug 2026?
- Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
- Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- US trade deficit for 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 56% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the U.S. Court of International Trade issues a written ruling that holds unlawful, vacates, sets aside, or enjoins collection of the 10%–12.5% Section 301 forced-labor tariffs, in whole or in part, as to any party in any case challenging the Section 301 forced-labor tariffs imposed effective July 24, 2026, including Burlap and Barrel, Inc. v.