Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
8.0 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin America3m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 1, 2027 18%+8.0pt
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
113,4 €
Liquidez
41,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
12.0% / 16.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
17 mar 26, 14:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
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PolymarketReglas
If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
- Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
- A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
- If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 1, 2027 al 18% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba??
- Está previsto que Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.