Will Donald Trump issue Elon Musk a Presidential Pardon while he is in office
One-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 6:14 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 87.4%
No 87.4%Pronosticadores
71
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado6 feb 25, 20:52 UTC22 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
The pardon can be for a specific act or crime or could be a blanket pardon.
- Background Presidential pardons are a constitutional power granted to the President of the United States under Article II, Section 2.
- A pardon can be issued preemptively (before any charges or conviction) or after conviction, and can be specific to certain crimes or a blanket pardon covering a period of time.
- Currently, there are no public criminal charges against Elon Musk that would require a presidential pardon.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump, while serving as President of the United States, issues any form of presidential pardon (specific or blanket) to Elon Musk.
- The market will resolve NO if Trump's presidential term ends without issuing a pardon to Musk.