Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
0.8 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaElecciónUS Politics3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 99%+0.8pt
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
16,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
0.8% / 2.0%
Spread
1.2 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
5 nov 25, 19:04 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.