PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Gavin Newsom 13%Líder entre 71 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
658,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
21
Cambio 7d
-6.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
19 nov 25, 23:53 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run in 2026?
KalshiWho will announce Presidential run before 2028?
PolymarketWho will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
KalshiWho will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.