Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
2026 · —
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Referencia guardada
2026 12%
2026 12%Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
186,5 €
Liquidez
13,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
9,5 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
2026Spread
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Comentarios
11
Cambio 7d
-1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 28 minutos
27 oct 25, 17:52 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
2025Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
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Profundidad de mercado · 2026
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ForecastExReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy? · Before Oct 1, 2027 75%
