Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 97.5%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado28 jun 24, 7:30 UTC6 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom completes his second term as Governor of California, which is scheduled to end on January 5, 2027.
- The market resolves to "No" if he leaves office for any reason before this date, including resignation, impeachment, or removal.
- Resolution Criteria
- Yes: Gavin Newsom remains Governor of California until January 5, 2027.
- No: Gavin Newsom leaves office before January 5, 2027.
- Resolution Sources
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California??
- Está previsto que Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California? se resuelva el 6 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Gavin Newsom complete his second term as governor of California??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom completes his second term as Governor of California, which is scheduled to end on January 5, 2027.