Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónAmérica Latina
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Lula da Silva 2-4%
Resuelto: 26 oct 2026, 9:06
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 16:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-6%26%
Lula da Silva 4-6%0%
Flávio Bolsonaro <2%0%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%32%
Lula da Silva <2%0%
Lula da Silva 2-4%100%
Lula da Silva 8-10%0%
Lula da Silva 2-4%Ganada
Antes del cierre: 100% ·
Flávio Bolsonaro 10-12%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Flávio Bolsonaro 4-6%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Flávio Bolsonaro 6-8%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-10%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Flávio Bolsonaro <2%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Lula da Silva 10-12%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Lula da Silva 12%+Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Lula da Silva 4-6%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Lula da Silva 6-8%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Lula da Silva 8-10%Perdida
Lula da Silva <2%Perdida
Antes del cierre: 0% ·
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If a candidate other than Flávio Bolsonaro or Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receives the most valid votes in the second round, or if the top two candidates receive exactly the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to "Other".
