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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Macron out by...?
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEurope19d
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
December
December 0%-0.1%
Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

19,6 €

Liquidez

16,4 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

0.2% / 0.5%

Spread

150.0%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

-0.3%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 minutos

3 ene 25, 19:3530 jun 26, 12:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
December
December
0%
June 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
0%
October
October
0%

Resultado elegido

December0%

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

1,1 mil €
December 31,: 32%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

638,2 €
PSD: 60%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Will Northern Cyprus be recognized by a country other than Turkey before October 2026?

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Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

3,6 €
Sí: 10%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,638.15+2.21%EthereumETH$1,649.96+1.51%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.46%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.50%XRPXRP$1.12+0.13%BNBBNB$595.17+1.48%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.