PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 27%-5.5ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
810 €
Liquidez
9,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-4.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
26 jul 26, 22:32 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
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PolymarketReglas
NATO's Article 4 allows any member to call for consultations with allies if it believes its territorial integrity, political independence, or security to be threatened.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO member invokes Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Article 4 is considered invoked as soon as a member formally requests consultations with NATO allies under Article 4, regardless of whether the request is later revoked.
- For example, Poland's request for consultations on September 10, 2025, or Estonia's request on September 24, 2025 would each qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- If a member state only expresses intent to or is considering invoking Article 4, that alone does not suffice for a "Yes" resolution.