Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 91.1%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado1 ene 26, 22:58 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
NATO article 5 before 2027?
PolymarketAnother NATO article 4 by which date?
PolymarketWhat is the next country to invoke NATO Article 5?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the NEXT country to invoke NATO Article 4?
Manifold MarketsWill Article 7 of the EU be employed against Hungary before 2027?
Manifold MarketsMacron activates article 16 of the French constitution (exceptional powers) before April 2027
Manifold MarketsReglas
Will the North Atlantic Counsel (NAC) decide before the end of 2026 that an attack on one of the NATO partners fulfilled the criteria to initiate Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty? This would mean that all NATO partners will have the obligation to collectively defend the attacked NATO partner.
- Market will resolve yes if the NAC publicly states that the NATO will instigate article 5, regardless of actual action undertaken by NATO partners.
- Market will resolve no if no statement has been made before the end of 2026