PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 95%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
27,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
4.8% / 6.1%
Spread
1.3 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
6
Cambio 7d
+1.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado23 ene 26, 22:301 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of at least two NATO member states between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force, such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between the military forces of at least two NATO member states.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: For the purposes of this market, coast guard services or equivalent forces will be considered part of a country’s military only if they are officially designated as military forces under that country’s law or command structure; purely civilian or law-enforcement maritime agencies will not be considered military forces.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of at least two NATO member states between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.