PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Nothing 97%-0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
65 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
39,5 €
Liquidez
12,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
96.3% / 97.7%
Spread
1.4 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
4
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
11 feb 26, 20:15 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketWill we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
- Satoshi moves any Bitcoin
- This market will resolve to “Something” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time during this market's above-specified time frame.
- The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto
Mercados abiertos
BitcoinPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+0.9pt100%
- 76,000+3.0pt98%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 765,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 615,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $73,000 or above-1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $72,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 318,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 317,4 mil €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000-0.3pt100%
- 72,000+0.7pt99%
- 74,000+0.3pt98%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 resultados más
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- BTC 15 min · $78,505.20 target
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 15?
- Bitcoin price on September 10?
- BTC price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto?
- Polymarket cotiza Nothing al 97% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto?
- Está previsto que Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: