Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026?
One-OffRussia / UkraineGeopolítica1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 74.8%
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5
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 6 minutos
6 sept 26, 8:24 UTC1 nov 26, 0:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
On September 5, 2026, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin for about five hours and then travelled on to Kyiv.
- Their stated goal was to restart direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations, which have been suspended for six months.
- Russia and Ukraine agreed to a three-day pause on strikes against Kyiv and Moscow so the American delegation could travel safely between the two capitals.
- No agreement came out of the Kremlin meeting; Putin said he has "full trust" in US mediation.
- This market asks whether the two governments actually sit down together.
- RESOLVES YES if, on or before 2026-10-31 23:59 UTC, Reuters or the Associated Press reports that officials representing the government of Russia and officials representing the government of Ukraine met IN PERSON, in the same room, at talks whose reported subject includes ending the war, a ceasefire, or a peace settlement. - The seniority of the delegations does not matter. - A meeting mediated or attended by third parties (the United States, Turkey, others) still counts, so long as Russian and Ukrainian officials are both physically present.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026? se resuelva el 1 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: On September 5, 2026, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin for about five hours and then travelled on to Kyiv.