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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

0.5% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
December 31
December 31 38%+0.5%
Calidad del mercado

91 / 100

Alta calidad
Volumen 24h

1,3 mil €

Liquidez

60,7 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

37.0% / 38.0%

Spread

2.7%

Spread estrecho
Cambio 7d

+2.0%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

19 feb 26, 20:4531 dic 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

December 3138%

Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,833.95+2.23%EthereumETH$1,660.56+1.83%SolanaSOL$65.25+1.80%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.57%XRPXRP$1.12+0.45%BNBBNB$596.42+1.82%

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Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.