Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 67.5%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado25 ene 26, 21:53 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Russia capture Lyman by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture the city of Donetsk before the Russia-Ukraine war ends
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Russian forces establish full military control over Lyman, Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution sources
- Confirmation from: (at least 3 of these) Suriyakmaps, Kalibrated, Military Summary, DPA, AMK
- Official statements from Ukrainian/Russian military command
- Map shaded red on ISW map
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
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+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
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+20 resultados más
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- December 31+1.4pt50%
- October 3128.8%
- September 30-1.0pt11.9%
+17 resultados más
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt30%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-4.0pt22%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3110%
- November 30-1.5pt5%
- October 31-1.2pt3%
+6 resultados más
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
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- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 68% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026? se resuelva el 30 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will Russia capture Lyman in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.