PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Dopropillia 90%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
12,5 mil €
Liquidez
135,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
11 may 26, 20:06 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Mercados abiertos
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- No Change+1.5pt69.3%
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- No+0.1pt99%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which cities will Russia enter by December 31??
- Polymarket cotiza Dopropillia al 90% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which cities will Russia enter by December 31??
- Está previsto que Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which cities will Russia enter by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.