PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
November 30 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Referencia guardada
November 30 10%Líder entre 8 opciones
November 30 10%Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
225,2 €
Liquidez
385,4 €
Baja liquidezInterés abierto
1,8 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
November 30Spread
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Comentarios
1
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
2 sept 26, 21:39 UTC1 dic 26, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
October 15Perdida
September 11Perdida
September 18Perdida
September 30Perdida
September 4Perdida
September 7Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · November 30
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketNetanyahu out before the next Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting?
PolymarketWill Russia and/or China get involved with the US/Israel and Iran situation before May begins
Manifold MarketsWill nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which Israel does not take a qualifying military action against Lebanon that begins at any time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred).
- The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day.
- This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Lebanon.