Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
0.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.GeopolíticaOriente Medio2m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
No · —
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Referencia guardada
No 72.3%
No 72.3%Calidad del mercado
66 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
23,1 €
Liquidez
18,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
8,1 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
NoSpread
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Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-5.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
3 sept 26, 13:21 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
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Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · No
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
PolymarketWill a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
Manifold MarketsReglas
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers before a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If neither a qualifying announcement of the end of the blockade nor a qualifying diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of the end of the blockade qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
