Pronóstico comunitario actual
Democrat trifecta 51%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+5.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado20 mar 25, 0:26 UTC7 nov 28, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Balance of power after 2028 US elections?
Manifold MarketsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
PredictItBalance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator plans to use reference markets closer to the election to determine resolution, making this a derivative market.
- Expected resolution criteria (pending final reference market selection):
- Independents count for the party they caucus with
- Tie in Senate broken by VP
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 691,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Balance of power after the 2028 elections?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Democrat trifecta al 51% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Balance of power after the 2028 elections?
- Está previsto que Balance of power after the 2028 elections se resuelva el 7 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Balance of power after the 2028 elections?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator plans to use reference markets closer to the election to determine resolution, making this a derivative market.