What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección1m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Democratic House and Senate 49.5%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
106
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
15 nov 24, 22:37 UTC4 nov 26, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.3%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Manifold MarketsWho controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?
KalshiHow many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
KalshiBalance of power after 2028 US elections?
Manifold MarketsBalance of Power After the 2026 Midterms
SmarketsReglas
Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.
- In that case, the market will resolve to "Other" or an option stating that no party has the majority in the chamber if such an option has been added.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Smarkets — Balance of Power After the 2026 Midterms · Democrats Senate + Democrats House 44%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 52%
- También disponible en Kalshi — 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? · D-House, D-Senate 46%
- También disponible en PredictIt — What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? · Dem. House & Senate 46%
- También disponible en Limitless — Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms · Democrats Sweep 51%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms? · Democrats Sweep 50%
Mercados abiertos
Politics
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Democratic House and Senate al 50% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms??
- Está previsto que What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms? se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.