What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualDemocratic House and Senate 42.4%-0.3%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
99
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado15 nov 24, 22:374 nov 26, 5:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democratic House and Senate42%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic House, Republican Senate
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general85% de coincidencia · verificado | Alta | 46% | — | 54,3 mil € | 4,5 M € | hace 7 minutos | Abrir → |
 Polymarket88% de coincidencia · verificado | Alta | 44% | — | 10,4 mil € | 824,3 mil € | hace 13 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 44% | — | — | — | hace 2 horas | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 44% | — | — | — | hace 8 horas | |
 PredictIt92% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 41% | — | — | — | hace 6 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en PredictIt
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
41%
38%
23%
+1 resultados más
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITTambién disponible en Polymarket
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
0.5%3m
44%
41%
+0.5%14%
+2 resultados más
89 • Alta calidadSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total7,5 M €
Volumen 24h10,4 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Kalshi
2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
3.0%6m
+3.0%46%
-1.0%17%
-0.1%2%
+1 resultados más
100 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total7 M €
Volumen 24h54,3 mil €
KALSHITambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
3m
-0.3%42.4%
+0.1%12.1%
0.8%
+2 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario128 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$1610 jul3d de datos12 jul
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Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.