How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20262m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
At least 1 · —
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Precio guardado
At least 1 34.5%Líder entre 4 opciones
At least 1 34.5%Calidad del mercado
26 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Interés abierto
1,4 mil US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
At least 1Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 51 minutos
Retrasado12 ago 26, 16:00 UTC3 ene 27, 14:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · At least 1
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:state governments
- A candidate is considered unaffiliated with a political party if the relevant election authority identifies the candidate as Independent, Nonpartisan, No Party Preference, No Party Affiliation, Unaffiliated, by petition without a party designation, or an equivalent no-party designation. Candidates identified with a political party do not count. Endorsements and post-election caucus affiliation do not affect the count.
Reglas de cada resultado
- At least 1
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 4 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.