KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 89%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
8.8% / 10.0%
Spread
1.2 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
11 feb 26, 17:00 UTC3 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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If Neal Dunn leaves the House before November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Bloomberg NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNeal DunnPoliticoReutersthe Associated Pressthe body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is heldthe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Post
- Neal Dunn must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms??
- Está previsto que Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Neal Dunn leaves the House before November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.