KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualBefore 2027 6%-0.3%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
83 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
215,5 €
Liquidez
717,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
5.7% / 5.8%
Spread
1.8%
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 minutos
10 ene 26, 0:001 ene 27, 15:00
Tendencias
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Before 20276%
Comparar plataformas· Before January 20, 2029
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general82% de coincidencia · vinculado | Alta | 96% | — | 14,5 mil € | 210,6 mil € | hace 2 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Alta | 16% | — | 215,5 € | 717,6 mil € | hace 22 minutos | |
| KalshiMás activa82% de coincidencia · vinculado | Media | 23% | — | 26 mil € | 480,3 mil € | hace 22 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless82% de coincidencia · vinculado | Baja | 95% | — | 0 € | 0 € | hace 22 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 94% | — | — | — | hace 5 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets78% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 95% | — | — | — | hace 38 días | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets82% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 91% | — | — | — | ayer | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
96%
4%
100 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezCerca de la resolución
Volumen total30,8 M €
Volumen 24h14,5 mil €
POLYMARKETTambién disponible en Kalshi
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
2a
23%
+0.5%6%
73 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total2,9 M €
Volumen 24h26 mil €
KALSHITambién disponible en Limitless
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
94.6%
5.5%
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total22 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
2a
91%
9%
Pronóstico comunitario1259 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5m
94.1%
5.9%
Pronóstico comunitario13 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
2a
95.3%
4.7%
Pronóstico comunitario41 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.3k95.4%POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaperhace 7 d
POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaperhace 7 d$1.1k93.3%KALSHIBefore 2027 — Nohace 17 d
KALSHIBefore 2027 — Nohace 17 d$1.5k95.4%POLYMARKETNoNxbYidhace 23 d
POLYMARKETNoNxbYidhace 23 dTendencia de volumen
$2452 jul25d de datos26 jul
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If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.