LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 4 sept 2026, 8:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 93.5%
Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
26 ago 26, 13:051 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies.
1.
- Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S. (e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
2.
- Acquisition of Primary or Exclusive Jurisdiction or Control: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument establishes a defined area in Greenland in which the U.S. has primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over the territory, such that the ordinary legal authority of Denmark and Greenland do not apply,except by U.S. permission.
- Such agreements or instruments will qualify even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
3.
- Use of Force: If the U.S. acquires primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over a defined area of Greenland through force, this will also qualify.
An announcement will qualify only if it is accompanied by or consists of a binding agreement or legal instrument (e.g., enacted legislation, a signed treaty, the signed text of an agreement, or an executive action implementing such an agreement) that unambiguously creates a transfer of sovereignty, or primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control, even if this transfer or acquisition takes effect after the market deadline.
Non-binding statements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or MOUs will not alone qualify.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
3 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm es del 7%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 8 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 7% · 3 plataformas · 8 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 86%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 93%
- También disponible en PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
- Limitless cotiza No al 94% a fecha de 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
- Limitless liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Futuur, Manifold Markets, Polymarket, PredictIt.
