Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 92.2%
Pronosticadores
1,262
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado7 ene 25, 16:02 UTC21 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
Donald Trump has expressed interest in purchasing at least part of Greenland.
- If the United States acquires at least part of Greenland before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves YES.
- Update 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Acquisition Criteria:
- The market will resolve YES if Greenland becomes a US territory or if the US government or one of its constituent agencies acquires any portion of Greenland.
- This acquisition must involve government ownership of the land, not merely private or academic entities (for example, a science lab established by Harvard University does not qualify).
- Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator emphasizes that this market is about whether Greenland or a meaningful portion of it becomes part of America, not about minor acquisitions like a single building or small plot of land.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? · Before January 20, 2029 23%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 98%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
- También disponible en Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de ¿Comprará o adquirirá Trump/EE.UU. parte de Groenlandia??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve ¿Comprará o adquirirá Trump/EE.UU. parte de Groenlandia??
- Está previsto que ¿Comprará o adquirirá Trump/EE.UU. parte de Groenlandia? se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida ¿Comprará o adquirirá Trump/EE.UU. parte de Groenlandia??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Donald Trump has expressed interest in purchasing at least part of Greenland.
- ¿Dónde más está listado ¿Comprará o adquirirá Trump/EE.UU. parte de Groenlandia??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi, Manifold Markets, Polymarket, Limitless.