Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029?
One-OffGeopolíticaUS PoliticsPolítica2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 89.1%
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25
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Actualizado hace 21 horas
Desactualizado25 ene 26, 16:01 UTC20 ene 29, 17:00 UTC
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FutuurReglas
Will the United States, by 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on January 20, 2029, have taken steps that place Greenland or part of it under U.S. governing authority?
- For purposes of this market, “part of Greenland” means a defined geographic area of Greenlandic land territory together with the civilian population ordinarily residing there.
- The exercise of authority limited solely to any of the following does not, by itself, constitute being “in charge of part of Greenland”:
- Airspace, territorial waters, exclusive economic zones, or maritime navigation
- Ports, harbors, or customs facilities absent broader civil governance of the surrounding land area
- Security zones, exclusion zones, or access controls established solely for military or diplomatic purposes
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029??
- Está previsto que Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029? se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the United States be in charge of at least part of Greenland by January 20, 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will the United States, by 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on January 20, 2029, have taken steps that place Greenland or part of it under U.S. governing authority?