PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
John Brennan 22%+1.0ptLíder entre 24 opciones
Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
516,9 €
Liquidez
302,9 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
13
Cambio 7d
-3.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWill a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Who will be arrested in 2026? · John Brennan 22%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be arrested before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza John Brennan al 22% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be arrested before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Who will be arrested before 2027??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.