PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualJohn Brennan 28%-0.5%Líder entre 24 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
394,4 €
Liquidez
186,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
3.3% / 3.9%
Spread
18.2%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+1.3%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
John Brennan28%
Comparar plataformas· John Brennan
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general76% de coincidencia · verificado | Alta | 36% | +8pt | 1,4 mil € | 315,3 mil € | hace 25 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Media | 28% | 0pt | 394,4 € | 186,2 mil € | hace 5 minutos |
También disponible en Kalshi
Who will be arrested in 2026?
0.3%5m
36%
+5.0%26%
23%
+21 resultados más
91 • Alta calidadSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total907,5 mil €
Volumen 24h1,4 mil €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$4492 jul25d de datos26 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.