KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualJohn Brennan 49%Líder entre 25 opciones
Calidad del mercado
60 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
7,8 €
Liquidez
4,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
48.0% / 51.0%
Spread
6.3%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
23 jul 25, 14:001 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
John Brennan49%
También disponible en Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
+15.0%50%
+14.0%43%
-6.0%42%
+21 resultados más
56 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total103,3 mil €
Volumen 24h121,7 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.