KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualJohn Brennan 37%+1.0ptLíder entre 24 opciones
Calidad del mercado
74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
315,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
7.3% / 8.0%
Spread
0.7 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
23 jul 25, 21:101 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Anthony Fauci9%
Comparar plataformas· John Brennan
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 37% | +1pt | 1,4 mil € | 315,4 mil € | hace 19 minutos | |
 Polymarket76% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 36% | 0pt | 1 mil € | 205,2 mil € | hace 19 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
0.1 pts
+7.5pt36%
-11.0pt29%
20%
+21 resultados más
73 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoAlta liquidezAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total198,3 mil €
Volumen 24h1 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.2k95.0%POLYMARKETWill Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? — NoFortunatelyFestiveayer
POLYMARKETWill Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? — NoFortunatelyFestiveayerTendencia de volumen
$1.6k2 jul26d de datos27 jul
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If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.