Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsCrime & Justice3m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 85%
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
250,9 €
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
6.8% / 16.0%
Spread
9.2 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
7 ene 26, 15:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the New York Timesthe Associated PressBloombergReutersAxiosThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationPoliticoNBCCNNABCCBSMSNBCBBCNPR
- Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
- Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
- Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.
- If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes.
- Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 85% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud??
- Está previsto que Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.