Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
18.0 pts (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffLatin AmericaCrime & Justice4m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Audias Flores-Silva 100%+23.0ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
28,4 mil €
Liquidez
778,3 €
Baja liquidezSpread
21.0 pt
Spread amplioComments
2
Cambio 7d
+22.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
24 feb 26, 1:241 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
100%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.