PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
June 30, 2027 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Referencia guardada
June 30, 2027 49%
June 30, 2027 49%Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
12,5 mil €
Liquidez
53,4 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
40,3 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
June 30, 2027Spread
—
Comentarios
19
Cambio 7d
+8.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
8 jul 26, 1:15 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · June 30, 2027
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?
PolymarketPhoebe Gates arrested by December 31?
PolymarketLuke Campbell arrested by December 31?
PolymarketWill conclusive evidence emerge before 2030 that Viktor Orbán is a Russian asset?
Manifold MarketsWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiIlhan Omar arrested by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Viktor Orbán is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.