PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 98%+0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidad
Volumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3,8 mil €
Liquidez media
Compra / Venta
1.2% / 3.6%
Spread
2.4 pt
Spread moderado
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-3.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
14 ago 26, 20:10 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31??
Polymarket cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31??
Está previsto que Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
¿Cómo se liquida Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31??
Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.