Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 97.9%
Pronosticadores
152
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado25 dic 24, 4:02 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If U.S. buys Greenland by EOY, will it be purchased for $500B-$700B?
Manifold MarketsIf the US buys Greenland and makes it a state, will it vote for a Democrat in the subsequent presidential election?
Manifold MarketsTesla buys xAI by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsNow Target buys Starbucks on 2032
Manifold MarketsHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
KalshiUS lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution Criteria:
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States officially completes the purchase or annexation of Greenland by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PST.
- Conditions for Resolution:
- • The resolution will be based on an official announcement from the U.S. government or the government of Denmark/Greenland confirming the transfer of sovereignty or sale of Greenland to the United States.
- • The agreement must include explicit language of transfer, sale, or annexation of territory.
- • Military agreements, economic partnerships, or temporary leasing arrangements will not qualify.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 90%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- También disponible en PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- También disponible en Limitless — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No