Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.6%
Pronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado28 mar 25, 22:47 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Tesla, Inc. acquires a controlling stake (>50%) in xAI (Elon Musk's artificial intelligence company) on or before December 31, 2026.
- The market resolves NO if no such acquisition occurs by this date.
- [image]Background
- xAI is an artificial intelligence company founded by Elon Musk in July 2023, focused on developing AI systems that can "understand the true nature of the universe."
- Elon Musk is currently CEO of both Tesla and xAI, creating a connection between the two companies.
Mercados abiertos
Corporate Actions
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 69,2 mil €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 185,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 17,8 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.1pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 resultados más
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 94% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026??
- Está previsto que Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Tesla buys xAI by EOY2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria