Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?
7.5 pts (24h)Eventos corporativosOne-OffOriente MedioDeportesAjedrezElecciónPolítica1a
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
No government formed · —
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Referencia guardada
No government formed 44%Líder entre 22 opciones
No government formed 44%Calidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
8,3 mil €
Liquidez
175,9 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
1,9 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
No government formedSpread
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Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
30 oct 26, 0:53 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · No government formed
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Knesset election.
- The government is considered formed at the moment the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence.
- A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister.
- Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, abstentions, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
- A coalition does not need to hold a majority of seats in the Knesset; a government approved in a vote of confidence will qualify regardless of the number of seats held by its parties.
- Parties will be identified by the electoral lists on which they contested the 2026 Knesset election; any subsequent split, merger, or renaming of a list will be disregarded.