How long will the the Israeli government last after the upcoming elections?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónOriente MedioDeportesPolítica de EE. UU.Ajedrez3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosPronóstico comunitario actual24-48 months 39.5%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado14 sept 26, 12:01 UTC14 sept 30, 11:58 UTC
Tendencias
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This market is of type INDEPENDENT_MULTIPLE_CHOICE with five fixed options representing the survival duration of the Israeli government formed after the next legislative elections (scheduled for October 27, 2026).
- Each option will resolve independently to YES or NO based on the official outcome.
- Upcoming Election: Refers to the 2026 Israeli legislative election (or any rescheduled date if postponed).
- Government Formed: Defined as a cabinet that successfully receives a vote of confidence in the Knesset and is sworn into office.
- Government Dissolution: The tenure of the government ends on the day early elections are officially triggered (e.g., the Knesset passes a law to dissolve itself), a constructive vote of no confidence succeeds, or the government is otherwise officially dissolved or replaced.
- Interim/Caretaker Period: The duration of the government does not include any caretaker or interim period after the Knesset has dissolved or early elections have been officially triggered.