Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
One-OffPolíticaElecciónChessUS PoliticsDeportes1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
National + ACT + NZF 46.6%+1.5ptLíder entre 18 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
170,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.7 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
8
Cambio 7d
-1.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
4 may 26, 20:12 UTC7 nov 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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KalshiReglas
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next New Zealand general election.
- A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.
- The following parties will be considered for this market: ACT New Zealand (ACT), Labour Party (Labour), Te Pāti Māori (Maori), National Party (National), Green Party (Green), and New Zealand First Party (NZF).
- All other parties will not be considered.