PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualSí 3%+0.0%
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
61,5 mil €
Liquidez
194,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
3.0% / 3.3%
Spread
10.0%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+0.1%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
29 jun 26, 23:5330 sept 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes3%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por volumen de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMás activa | 97% | +94pt | 61,5 mil € | 194,1 mil € | hace 5 minutos | |
 Myriad | 94% | +91pt | 9,1 € | 1,3 mil € | hace 17 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Myriad
Will the Iranian Regime fall before October?
0.0%2m
6%
94%
32 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total35,3 mil €
Volumen 24h9,1 €
MYRIADReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran.
- This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.
- Routine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify.
- Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$4.9k97.4%NoScrimpyhace 5 d
Tendencia de volumen
$70.2k2 jul7d de datos8 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran.
- This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.
- Routine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify.
- Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify.